All,
The MX swap went flawlessly. We stood up the MX100 in parallel, put a static IP on it within the local status page and cut over the uplink.
I did have to reboot the MX 100 as it didn't reach the dashboard right away. Once it came online all the configuration applied from before, with the exception of the site-to-site VPN.
We simply turned on the site-to-site VPN and didn't need to reconfigure it in any way.
Our 1:1 NAT didn't work, but rebooting the upstream router cleared its tables and restored connectivity to the webserver behind the NAT.
To troubleshoot this I took a PCAP and watched the TCP SYN from my public IP address hit three times and then saw the fast retransmission occur, but we never received any SYN/ACK.
Looking at the source and destination MAC addresses, I could see the packet source from the CISCO router upstream, destined for the old MX port 1 MAC address.
Rebooted the cache upstream.
Thanks,
Tory H. Davenport