@BrechtSchamp I forget how to calculate the combined percentages. You can't just add the percentages because if you have a 50% chance at prize A and a 50% chance at prize B, you still do not have a 100% chance of winning something. (Using simple percentages for easy math & understanding.) Multiplying doesn't get it either because 50% * 50% = 25% and it doesn't make sense that having a second chance would reduce your chances. I also thought about adding the 25% to the 50% as 75% kinda makes sense in this scenario but if your odds are 50% and 25% then .5 * .25 = 12.5% + 25% = 37.5%. Of course, 12.5% + 50% = 62.5% which kinda makes sense but how do you pick which % to add the combined percentage to (Is it always just the larger one)? Maybe I'm thinking too much into this. Maybe I need more coffee. Maybe it really doesn't matter lol If my assumptions are correct (big IF), based on my previous numbers, Tier 1 has an overall 27.15% chance, Tier 2 has a 54.88%, and Tier 3 has a 67.94% chance of getting a prize from one of the tiers (including the Grand Prize). Of course, if any of you math geniuses out there can pinpoint errors in my logic or calculations, I do welcome input/corrections. P.S. Sorry for yet another long post about math that doesn't really matter much in terms of this forum. Math does tend to keep me up at night from time to time and apparently there are a few here that find some value.
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