This was a solved issue years ago. Failover would never work because there was a notification page that would "confuse" the MX that is not down by spoofing all failover tests preventing cell failover to kick in. The solution was to disable the Broadband Status Notification in the modem. Once that was done, failover worked perfectly.
AT&T, in their infinite wisdom, decided to re-enabled that feature remotely (on a frequent basis) so when your circuit goes down and your failover did not kick in, you know that AT&T has put that notificaion check back. This is happing to us on dozens of MX on different customers and locations; and changing to another ISP is not an option. Calling AT&T and opemning a ticket with them is futile.
I just wonder if someone had a workaround solution for this on the Meraki side. Perhaps a good olde ping rather than some sofisticated (but highly spoofable) failover test.